Bitcoin Price Prediction: Has the BTC Bear Market Ended After 45 Weeks?

Bitcoin is trading at $81,600, up by a huge 6% since the start of last week, and the number that matters for its price prediction just flipped bullish for the first time in nearly a year.

After 45 straight weeks of failing to close above its 50-week moving average, BTC finally flipped it.Bitcoin closed the last week above the 50-day MA for the first time since November 2025, following a 29% rebound over 35 days.

Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn called the close an “important confirmation” that the bear phase may have run its course.

The weekly close is roughly 3% above the moving average, sitting at $78,800, and nearly 24% above the 200-week MA at $65,500.BTC USD, 50, 100, 200-day MA, TradingViewThis technical confirmation has historically lined up with prior cycle bottoms.