CLARITY Act News: Bill in Peril Amid Senate Standoff – What Happens Next?

In CLARITY Act news, odds that the bill becomes law in 2026 collapsed to as low as 16% on Polymarket on Monday, before rising to 21% today but still down -44% over the past 24 hours.

This follows key Senate Democrats saying Republicans’ latest “final” ethics offer had not swayed them.

The bill needs 60 votes to clear a US Senate procedural motion on Tuesday, and that threshold looks shakier now than it did a day earlier, when the same market briefly spiked to 35% on hope a deal was within reach.

(SOURCE: Polymarket) That swing captures how fragile the coalition behind the CLARITY Act has become. Here is the tension driving the market: Republicans insist they have given Democrats everything they can on ethics.