FOMC September 2026 Odds for a Rate Hike Surpass 50%

Traders using the CME’s FedWatch tool put the FOMC September 2026 odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s September 16 meeting at nearly 56%, CNBC reported.

The change followed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s keynote speech at the central bank’s Jackson Hole symposium and left the September FOMC decision looking closely contested in market pricing.

WE ARE LESS THAN 10 DAYS AWAY FROM THE NEXT FOMC MEETINGThere is currently a 53% chance that Kevin Warsh and the FOMC will raise rates at the September 17th press conference pic.twitter.com/it8Qo60PWl— WOLF (@WOLF_Financial) September 8, 2026 For Bitcoin and other crypto assets, the immediate development is a shift in the interest-rate backdrop rather than evidence of a confirmed price response.

CNBC’s reporting documents changing rate expectations and a move in short-term Treasury yields, but it does not establish a corresponding move in Bitcoin, altcoins, crypto derivatives, or liquidations.FOMC September 2026 Odds: A Jackson Hole Speech Reset Rate ExpectationsSOURCE: CMEGroupThe repricing was reflected across several market-based measures.