From Bear to Bull: Analyst Says Bitcoin UTXO Data Points to a Cycle Shift

Bitcoin’s share of addresses sitting at a loss has dropped sharply, and on-chain analyst Crypto Dan says moves of that size have historically ended bear markets rather than just producing a short bounce.

The call went out following two macro jolts that hit crypto: a Fed rate hike and a stalled Senate vote on the CLARITY Act.

Why the On-Chain Picture Looks Different Crypto Dan’s argument centers on UTXOs, the individual chunks of BTC in wallets, and how many currently sit below what their holders paid for them.

That share has fallen by a wide margin, and the analyst pointed to past cycles where drops of a similar size didn’t just produce a brief bounce; they closed out the bear phase entirely.