Fundstrat Warns Bitcoin Could Swing 30% in Either Direction as Volatility Hits Record Lows

BitcoinWorld Fundstrat Warns Bitcoin Could Swing 30% in Either Direction as Volatility Hits Record Lows Fundstrat’s head of digital asset strategy, Sean Farrell, warned in a client note on August 17 that Bitcoin’s volatility is nearing a record low, a pattern that historically has preceded significant price movements.

According to the note, past periods of similarly low volatility have seen a median absolute price move of about 30% over the following 60 days, with the direction of the move nearly evenly split—four cases ended higher and four ended lower. What’s Driving the Low Volatility?

Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range for weeks, a phenomenon that has frustrated traders and analysts alike.

The low volatility comes amid a backdrop of mixed macroeconomic signals, including rising long-term real interest rates, which Farrell highlighted as a potential catalyst that could push BTC out of its current range.