Trump-Xi Summit Polymarket Odds: Can 93% Deal Hopes Hold?

The Trump-Xi summit Polymarket odds point to strong confidence in a trade deal.

Polymarket’s contract on whether the United States and China will reach a qualifying tariff agreement by December 31, 2026 recently priced Yes at roughly 91–92%, according to the platform’s own market summary.

A separate capture of the same contract, timestamped September 24, 2026 at 7:45 AM UTC, showed Yes at 93%. That snapshot came with $287,000 in cumulative volume and $67,300 in liquidity. The gap between those two readings matters.

It shows this is a live, moving price rather than a fixed forecast. 99Bitcoins has covered this distinction before when tracking Polymarket’s Trump-Xi related markets. A big day with President Xi of China.